For Investors

Arbiter

98% Forecasting Accuracy

Arbiter is Facteus’s balanced, representative transaction dataset for investors who need fast signal they can actually forecast on. It helps fundamental and quant teams monitor company and category performance with investor-ready delivery and a methodology built to stand up.

Arbiter at a glance

Balanced, representative transaction data built for investors.

Designed for real-time predictions and earnings-related forecasting.

Best for teams that want fast, verified company and category signal without raw-row overhead.

On this page: what Arbiter is, what it solves, specs, proof, use cases, and FAQs.

What Arbiter solves

You need fast signal that still forecasts cleanly.

Arbiter is built for earnings-related prediction and nowcasting.

Panel drift can break confidence over time.

Representativeness and stability matter when the model has to hold up quarter after quarter.

You want investor utility, not raw-data sprawl.

Some teams need a forecasting product, not a data-engineering project.

Macro context and company reads should come from the same place.

Arbiter helps investors move from company to sector without switching truth sources.

Key Capabilities

Forecast with a balanced signal

Arbiter is designed to support real-time predictions and earnings-related analysis with a representative transaction foundation.

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Track companies and categories together

See whether a move reflects idiosyncratic company behavior or broader consumer demand.

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Move fast in investor workflows

Get data shaped for active research and forecasting, with delivery that supports serious model use.

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Use verified signal, not vendor bravado

Arbiter benefits from Facteus’s broader validation approach against economic and public company benchmarks.

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Specifications / Data Details

Arbiter gives investors fast access to representative transaction intelligence suited to forecasting and earnings prep.

Arbiter specifications and data details
Specifications Detail
Data type

Transaction data

Granularity

Aggregated investor-ready signal

Refresh cadence

Daily / one-day lag

Core use case

Forecasting and earnings-related analysis

Delivery

API, Snowflake, S3, approved workflows

Audience

Investors

The Guide to Investor Forecasting Data

Investor forecasting data has to do more than move early. It has to keep working under scrutiny. That means it needs enough speed to create an edge, enough methodological consistency to support backtests, and enough representativeness to avoid turning panel noise into conviction.

Arbiter is built for that middle ground. It gives investors a balanced, representative transaction signal shaped for real-time prediction and earnings-related work. Rather than forcing teams to build everything from raw rows, it provides a cleaner path to actionable company and category monitoring.

Because Arbiter sits on Facteus’s broader verified data foundation, it benefits from a validation approach that looks outward, not inward. That means benchmarking against the economy and public results, not just internal panel logic. For investor teams, that is what helps a fast signal become a usable one.

Proof that holds up

Arbiter inherits the Facteus standard for investor trust.

185M+

cards

30+

diverse financial sources

2.0%

cards

1 day

lag delivery

What teams do with Arbiter

Prepare for earnings

Track momentum before reported results.

Build forecasting inputs

Support systematic and discretionary models.

Monitor categories

Compare company performance against broader demand.

Pressure-test theses

Validate whether a move is real or narrative-driven.

FAQs

How is Arbiter different from Ultra?

Arbiter is more pre-shaped for forecasting and investor analysis, while Ultra offers more raw, row-level flexibility.

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